{"id":15731,"date":"2026-11-06T23:07:55","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T21:07:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uutispeili.fi\/?p=15731"},"modified":"2026-11-07T00:20:50","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T22:20:50","slug":"j-d-vance-israel-ensin-ja-iranin-sota-republikaanien-vaalitappion-syy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.uutispeili.fi\/index.php\/2026\/11\/06\/j-d-vance-israel-ensin-ja-iranin-sota-republikaanien-vaalitappion-syy\/","title":{"rendered":"J.D.Vance: ’Israel ensin’ ja Iranin sota republikaanien vaalitappion syy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kuluvan vuoden aikana olemme n\u00e4hneet innokkaampien ’MAGA-republikaanien’ n\u00e4ytt\u00e4v\u00e4n pettymyksens\u00e4 idoliinsa, mutta Trumpin hallinnon \u00a8pikkupoika-kaartin<\/em>’ (”Molodaja Guardija”) ilmeisesti kyvykk\u00e4imm\u00e4n -varapresidentti J.D.Vancen- loikkaaminen kelkasta yll\u00e4tt\u00e4\u00e4. Tarkastelemme.<\/strong><\/p>\n

(Kuvituskuva.)<\/p>\n

\u201dSuurin ongelma on, ett\u00e4 monet ihmiset, jotka \u00e4\u00e4nestiv\u00e4t Trumpia\/Vancea vuonna 2024, \u00e4\u00e4nestiv\u00e4t demokraatteja vuonna 2026<\/em>\u201d, varapresidentti\u00a0 J.D.Vance<\/strong> kirjoitti viestipalvelu X:ss\u00e4.<\/p>\n

Vance mainitsee republikaanien \u00e4\u00e4nest\u00e4j\u00e4n, joka oli kysynyt \u201dniilt\u00e4 \u00e4\u00e4nest\u00e4jilt\u00e4, jotka olivat hyl\u00e4nneet meid\u00e4t (republikaanit), mik\u00e4 saisi heid\u00e4t palaamaan joukkueeseemme. Nelj\u00e4 t\u00e4rkeint\u00e4 vastausta, …\u00a0 olivat: 1) [Iranin] sodan lopettaminen. 2) Keskity elinkustannuksiin\/inflaatioon. 3) Aseta Amerikka etusijalle. 4. Muuta suhdettamme Israeliin<\/strong>.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

Vancen saamat vastaukset, joita on selostaa x-viestiss\u00e4\u00e4n keskiviikkona (04.11.) kohdistuvat sotapolitiikkaan<\/em><\/strong>, johon Vance kuulopuheiden mukaan ei ollut niin kovin innostunut virkaansa hoitaessaan.<\/p>\n

\n

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was ”composition”\u2014whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.<\/p>\n

So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we’re going to shock the world? ”No,” he told me. ”We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump\/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us.”<\/p>\n

Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump\/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.<\/p>\n

There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn\u2019t sharp enough down the stretch. I\u2019m sure that\u2019s true.<\/p>\n

But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.<\/p>\n

Another pollster\u2014one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we\u2019d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:<\/p>\n

1) End the war
\n2) Focus on cost of living\/inflation
\n3) Put America First
\n4) Change our relationship to Israel<\/p>\n

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@JDVance This is why you lost. https:\/\/t.co\/NasLgeUj6w<\/p>\n

\u2014 Tanausu Acero (@tanausu) November 4, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n